He just gave up a home run on an 0-2 count
Lets go Cubs and lets see some runs
MF'r I have a pretty elementary question so bear with me....
As a Relative Value bettor with a high volume is it safe to assume that you yield positive units year after year in MLB?
If yes, are there big swings from one season to the next?
If no, how is it possible with such a high volume of +EV plays?
As sample size increases, the deviation to your overall relative expectancy follows suit. In other words, you're far more likely to be down 20 units after 200 plays with a 54% expectancy (against coinflips - for example) than you are after 1000 plays.