Hooligans Sportsbook

GameLive Pros (Warning it's loooooooooooooooong winded)

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Pavy (one of the greats of this generation :up:) makes a good point. Develop a basic understanding of value, and try to find or create edges yourself. That way it's a creative and rewarding process. If you have a specific question everybody's is happy to answer. Nobody needs a bunch of young dillweeds here to rehash the same tired shit over and over to. That's what sbr is for.
 
Personally, I'm here because I've come to think of a lot of the posters here as my friends. I like to talk to my friends. If they want to talk about sports betting, that's great. I like talking about it, and there are only a few things I'd reluctant to divulge. Even those things I'd probably talk about in a private setting after obtaining certain assurances.

However, I'd personally have no interest in creating an organized collection of knowledge for the random masses that may be here in the future. All that would potentially accomplish is to help a bunch of people I don't know and to hurt some other people, some of whom I do know.
 
Wally it's five minutes before gametime and you want to bet.

The lines look like this:

Pinnacle: Team x -120 / Team y +110
RebateWager: Team x -105 / Team y -115

You know nothing about either team. Pavy says Team y will win.

You must bet. Who do you bet?
 
durito
Wally it's five minutes before gametime and you want to bet.

The lines look like this:

Pinnacle: Team x -120 / Team y +110
RebateWager: Team x -105 / Team y -115

You know nothing about either team. Pavy says Team y will win.

You must bet. Who do you bet?
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I'm not sure if this is a trick question but I would bet team y.
 
Durito:

Pinnacle Lines
The Implied Probability of Tem X =53.39
The Implied Probability of Team Y =46.61

RebateWager Lines
The Implied Probability of Tem X =48.92
The Implied Probability of Team Y =51.08

That's the math but hell if I know what to do with it from that point.

I know how to do the math but I don't think I understand how to use the results.
 
wal66
Durito:

Pinnacle Lines
The Implied Probability of Tem X =53.39
The Implied Probability of Team Y =46.61

RebateWager Lines
The Implied Probability of Tem X =48.92
The Implied Probability of Team Y =51.08

That's the math but hell if I know what to do with it from that point.

I know how to do the math but I don't think I understand how to use the results.
Click to expand...

Say I told you the pinny line represented the fair price of this game. Then what would you do?
 
Durito, I don't know what the hypothetical line would be in this scenario but let's assume it's -3.

I understand either book might have the different prices and the same line, I get that part but how can either team have a better chance of winning at one book over the other? That makes no sense. A team has the same chance of winning regardless of a price. The price isn't on the field, playing the game. A price doesn't fumble, a price doesn't return a punt for a touchdown. How does the price give me an advantage on a game?

I am Googling, I am reading Think Tank but I don't understand the concept. If I lose the game and I got a better price then I lose less, I understand that but I don't see how the price available gives me an edge on a team winning.
 
wal66
Durito, I don't know what the hypothetical line would be in this scenario but let's assume it's -3.

I understand either book might have the different prices and the same line, I get that part but how can either team have a better chance of winning at one book over the other? That makes no sense. A team has the same chance of winning regardless of a price. The price isn't on the field, playing the game. A price doesn't fumble, a price doesn't return a punt for a touchdown. How does the price give me an advantage on a game?

I am Googling, I am reading Think Tank but I don't understand the concept. If I lose the game and I got a better price then I lose less, I understand that but I don't see how the price available gives me an edge on a team winning.
Click to expand...

Jesus Christ.
 
Look asswipe, I get it ok you are a fucking genius but I am seriously trying to understand something that simply doesn't make common sense to me.

While I'm at it and while you are on my nutz, could you scratch the left one for me, it itches.
 
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