Redskins are sharp

[rito]

You wouldn't hedge with something -EV so it's safe to assume MIA +7 -105 is +EV correct?

When I bet it the +7 -105 was +ev based on pinny, its not anymore.

But, actually yes -ev hedges are often worthwhile (though most people probably shouldnt bother). The issue here is the EG of your bankroll vs EV of the bet. I will often take slightly -ev NFL sides when i have teasers on the other team.

 

[rito]

For the Gamelive record, while Pavy and I have somewhat different philosophies on sports betting, my dealings with him have been very professional.

Perhaps just wally. I can picture him cruising the mall in a segway blowing his whistle.

 

[MrMonkey]

For the Gamelive record, while Pavy and I have somewhat different philosophies on sports betting, my dealings with him have been very professional.

So are you riding him here or not? Worst thing for your balls is to be hung up on the fence! Ball itching would be the least of your troubles! Right RC!

 

[MrMonkey]

Perhaps just wally. I can picture him cruising the mall in a segway blowing his whistle.

IMO Dafty can live with this!

 

[wal66]

I bet Wally and Pavy think theyd be better police than Daft.

Not that the truth will stop you but I have never claimed to be better than you in or at anything. In fact I have had no problems with you until your recent trolling (for lack of a better term). As for making a better mall cop though, yeah, as long as I had a scooter to chase the fok'rs down I would make a better mall cop than Daft. I wouldn't spend all my time at Ambercrombie & Fitch or checking out my profile in the store mirrors?

 

[Matty]

As for making a better mall cop though, yeah, as long as I had a scooter to chase the fok'rs down I would make a better mall cop than Daft. I wouldn't spend all my time at Ambercrombie & Fitch or checking out my profile in the store mirrors?

Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

 

[reno cool]

Wally, I guess the theory is people who really do know what they're doing are moving the line. And that's the only thing that makes a side sharp. Nobody cares about what team is rebuilding whatever, or is hot, the line movers have already done all that work more accurately. Nobody here is claiming to be one of those, besides MonkeyFucker(if here)

 

[RayRay]

Wally, like i stated in that long ass post, there was nothing sharp about betting washington the day after it opened (it did move a bit back and forth to give better # throughout the week)...after looking at Pinny and Bookmaker, the sharp money hammered the opener and what i would consider public money moved it around most of the week... i could be wrong a bit, but not completely and thats how i read most lines... my post to durito was basically stating that -3 -110 was sharp compared to what it might have closed at...thats all ... hope that clears that up a bit...

its rare that i disagree with anything tomato posts, but if he thinks that betting a team where the line moves 2-3 pts or more against him in the nfl is a sharp play, i must disagree and simply move on.

 

[reno cool]

wot? I cant even understand my post. too many grammatical errors

 

[Tron]

Wally, I guess the theory is people who really do know what they're doing are moving the line. And that's the only thing that makes a side sharp. Nobody cares about what team is rebuilding whatever, or is hot, the line movers have already done all that work more accurately. Nobody here is claiming to be one of those, besides MonkeyFucker(if here)

Matty we're going to need a calm strike rating on Jello here.

Thread could get ugly boyzzzz

 

[wal66]

Reno, I appreciate the answer.

I have never discredited line movement. I realize that much can be learned by watching the movement and understanding why a line is moving. It is a great tool or even process for some and at the minimum something to add to the arsenal for all.

 

[wal66]

Wally, like i stated in that long ass post, there was nothing sharp about betting washington the day after it opened (it did move a bit back and forth to give better # throughout the week)...after looking at Pinny and Bookmaker, the sharp money hammered the opener and what i would consider public money moved it around most of the week... i could be wrong a bit, but not completely and thats how i read most lines... my post to durito was basically stating that -3 -110 was sharp compared to what it might have closed at...thats all ... hope that clears that up a bit...

its rare that i disagree with anything tomato posts, but if he thinks that betting a team where the line moves 2-3 pts or more against him in the nfl is a sharp play, i must disagree and simply move on.

You did say at the opening RayRay and I glossed over it. My bad.

 

[Tron]

Good point, Ray

In fact Tomato once commented (in a constructive way) when I took a side that had moved against me.

Tomato, chime in here. It's been 70/30 Potato around here lately.

 

[RayRay]

daffy, i love the veggies, but, as you well know, the difference in tomato and potato is light years

hope you feel better homey...fawk that cold shit

 

[reno cool]

Matty we're going to need a calm strike rating on Jello here.

Thread could get ugly boyzzzz

Daffy, I'm not trying to strike, nor do I have much respect for steam chasing. I want to explain to Wally why handicapping is irrelevant to steam chasing. It is already assumed the work has been done by more capable cappers with access to more info etc.

 

[Saulty]

Typical "Sharp" Analysis:

Who moved the lined on Redskins/Eagles from -1 to -3?

Answer: Sharps that's why you should chase steam.

Who moved the line on Falcons/Panthers from +6 to +3?

Answer: Sharps but sharps are not always right.

 

[Matty]

Pavy how many times did you reset your SBR spreadsheet over the years?

 

[choo]

Typical "Pavy/FW/Wal" Analysis:

Make something up, treat it as truth. Make post based on false statements.