Stevek Poker Thread established 5.20.2023

[Vegas Dave]

5 hours +$168 today and I could be as frustrated at myself as I've ever been playing the game.

I walk into Live, win a few hands and am up a couple hundo. Then, I win a $599 high hand as Jacks full of aces miraculously holds for 28 minutes in a full room. What's cool is this wouldn't have even been a high hand at Rivers so I made the right move playing at Live. The odds of that hand holding for that long in a full room? Very, very low. So at this point I'm up about $900.

Lost a few hundo from some bad luck, etc., then, the big f*** up.

We get dealt AJ off suit and we call a $35 raise form a very aggressive player. We flop the rainbow fucking joint, 10 Q K all different suits. He checks, I check.

The turn is a low diamond putting two diamonds on the board. He raises big to $100, making me think he could have KK. I reraise to $225 in case he's on diamonds. He calls.

The River is a Queen (not a diamond), giving him a boat if he has Kings. I f*** up and nervously snap CHECK OUT OF TURN.

He hesitates and shoves over $200 all in. I say "I"m gonna fold because you have Kings". He shows A4 of diamonds for nothing but a busted draw.

I asked him if he would've made that move if I didn't check out of turn and he said no. I know he was being honest too. So stupid, unexplainable mistake cost me over $400.

Still, decent profit for the session, significantly over my $20/hr goal hourly, but very, very frustrating because of that stupid AS FUCK error.

But NOT as stupid as losing $3k on Bovada, so there's that.

Just gotta do like T-Sizzle and shake it off for the big weekend of poker.

Run good, crew.

I'm curious, do you routinely put opponents on the best possible hand?

I know you told this story for the out of turn check, but the rest of it has me interested. You call him a "very aggressive player", which I assume means he bets and raises with a wide range of hands, bluffs, etc.

This type of player is going to continuation bet a TON on flop, so it's weird to imagine he checks a flopped set. If he bets a bunch of junk and draws, he's gotta bet his monsters too.

But he checks and you check back, presumably giving him the rope to hang himself with bluffing. (Though if the plan was to worry about a boat and fold if board paired, might as well bet now. But I like the check.)

Turn he bets $100, you raise to $225 "in case he has diamonds", but you only raised $125 so he's actually getting the right price to call with diamonds at over 3:1. If we wanted diamonds to fold and/or have a bad price to draw, we should raise more.

River pairs board and we snap check out of turn. He shoves 200ish into 520, giving us pot odds of ~4 to 1 (~200 to win 920), making this a profitable call if we have the best hand even only ~23% of the time.

1. You've described this player as aggressive (so hes capable of bluffing).
2. We showed him weakness checking out of turn, making a bluff or thin value bet even more likely.
3. Good scare card to bluff.
4. He COULD be value betting with worse straight (J9 combos), or have same hand AJ.

Given all this, seems like a good spot for a call. Curious how much thought you gave it before soul reading him for KK