Michigan @ N'Western

[mcbaseball10]

Pinny really does not want to come off the -7 with Michigan. The way I've seen the movement, Northwestern @ +7.5 and +8 is a play.

Anybody (besides Pavy who doesn't believe there is any benefit in watching lines) have any thoughts or action on this game?

PS starting in 5 minutes

 

[wal66]

I've liked Michigan all week but not enough to bet the game either way.

 

[Saulty]

I have a teaser with Oklahoma and Michigan at -1. So as long as Michigan wins I'm fine with it. The line is -7 at Pinny because it was hammered earlier in the week when it opened at -4.5. If Pinny moves it to -7.5 the same people who hammered the -4.5 will jump on the +7.5.

 

[mcbaseball10]

Late money came in on Michigan making it 7.5 everywhere. I still like the N'Western play and am on 7.5 and 8. Still interested in what you guys were seeing with the movement in that game.

 

[mcbaseball10]

I have a teaser with Oklahoma and Michigan at -1. So as long as Michigan wins I'm fine with it. The line is -7 at Pinny because it was hammered earlier in the week when it opened at -4.5. If Pinny moves it to -7.5 the same people who hammered the -4.5 will jump on the +7.5.

Good say pavy. That makes sense.

 

[Cougar Bait]

I took NW for a unit at +7.5. This is Michigan's first road game of the year, and NW Big Ten home opener. The crowd will be jacked up. NW is a consistently good dog play because they have one hell of a coach. Michigan is far more talented, but I like NW small here. Fitz gets them up for it.

 

[Cougar Bait]

DP

 

[mcbaseball10]

Another game that I have monitored all week is Ohio State @ Nebraska. Pinny finally just moved back to -10.5. Any thoughts on this matchup of has-beens?

 

[mcbaseball10]

Back down to Ohio State +10 again at Pinny. I am giving it a small shot at +11 on Bodog and +10.5 elsewhere.

 

[mcbaseball10]

Added a little more @+11

 

[Cougar Bait]

I like Nebraska but didn't play it.

 

[FairWarning]

Pinny really does not want to come off the -7 with Michigan. The way I've seen the movement, Northwestern @ +7.5 and +8 is a play.

Anybody (besides Pavy who doesn't believe there is any benefit in watching lines) have any thoughts or action on this game?

PS starting in 5 minutes

I live in the area and i'm not letting people 2000 miles away sway my decision on my play when they may not know all the info

 

[roguejuror]

So what you got in the game FW?

 

[mcbaseball10]

I live in the area and i'm not letting people 2000 miles away sway my decision on my play when they may not know all the info

So you don't see value in watching line movement with your plays. I can respect that. I also think that if you don't follow the line movements, you can really miss out on a lot of opportunities. I know a lot about a lot of teams, but don't have the time to look into the 2nd string middle linebacker for the Minnesota Golden Gophers. I am also not smart enough to model for any sports. That is why I am trying to use whatever information I can to make a more educated decision on a regular basis.

 

[mcbaseball10]

Nwestern stiffed me in that 2nd half. Congrats on your teaser Pavy.

 

[roguejuror]

oh wow shut out

 

[mcbaseball10]

If Ohio State blows this cover, I don't know what I will do. I would say that I would do something dramatic, but I know that I won't. I will be pissed though. Really pissed.

 

[Saulty]

Nwestern stiffed me in that 2nd half. Congrats on your teaser Pavy.

Thanks. Sorry for NW. I wish they lost by 7. I noticed many teams today (dogs) covered the 1H but didn't cover the game. Maybe this is something to look for next week.