Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

[Matty]

I'm about to get Marlined again. WTF Phillies

 

[Tron]

I'm about to get Marlined again. WTF Phillies

We need a smiley for when someone's play gets Marlined. It happens to me, too.

And it can't be this one. Or can it?

 

[Matty]

I got Marlined for 5.7 units worth in just 2 games.

 

[Vegas Dave]

We need a smiley for when someone's play gets Marlined. It happens to me, too.

And it can't be this one. Or can it?

 

[Dingo]

 

[roguejuror]

We need a smiley for when someone's play gets Marlined. It happens to me, too.

And it can't be this one. Or can it?

The Marlin's kid is defiant but we'll need a new one

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
4-1 +2.96u
YTD 257-256 =4.88u

FIRST FIVE
2-2-1 +0.58u
YTD 133-106-34 +12.23u

POD 19-15-1 +3.58u

Kelly bankroll after day 53 - $171.15
New Kelly bet amount - $5.13

Saturday June 29

FULL GAMES
TOR +125 (6.1% edge)
PHI -270 (7.5% edge)
BOS -138 (12.8% edge)

FIRST FIVE
STL -195 (4.8% edge)

Adding

BAL FF -148 (13.3% edge)

POD is the Royals.

Adding

FULL GAMES
KCR EV (POD - 14.2% edge)
ARI -195 (4.5% edge)
LAD -200 (9.1% edge)

FIRST FIVE
ARI -190 (13.2% edge)

FULL GAMES
3-3 -1.83u
YTD 260-259 -6.71u

FIRST FIVE
2-1 +0.05u
YTD 135-107-34 +12.28u

POD 19-16-1 +2.58u

Kelly bankroll after day 54 - $162.02
New Kelly bet amount - $4.86

Sunday June 30

FULL GAMES
PIT +170 (9.6% edge)

FIRST FIVE
PIT +150 (10.1% edge)

 

[Matty]

Marlins FF +200 is a borderline play. I'd need a few cents better though.

Adding

FULL GAMES
TOR -110 (18.3% edge) (this is assuming Soto is out - still a play if he's in, likely POD if he's out)
NYM -125 (12.5% edge)
WSH +160 (3.8% edge)
KCR -130 (17.6% edge)

FIRST FIVE
COL +210 (8.9% edge)

Back after lunch for the 4/7PM games.

 

[Matty]

lolkevingausman

 

[Matty]

One could've made bank betting the Marlins every single game this series. Crazy.

 

[Matty]

Rockies!

 

[Matty]

Adding

FULL GAMES
BAL -162 (7.4% edge)

FIRST FIVE
BAL -145 (8.9% edge)

 

[Matty]

I might give up betting full games after today.

(Still going to track them/make paper bets, just not backed by actual money. For my mental health's sake.)

 

[CASPERWAIT$]

I might give up betting full games after today.

(Still going to track them/make paper bets, just not backed by actual money. For my mental health's sake.)

You know as soon as you stop, you’ll go on a heater after the All Star Break

 

[Matty]

So be it. This is all preparation for 2025 anyway.

 

[Matty]

Mets game to resume at 6:45pm

 

[roguejuror]

COL FF won, right?

 

[Matty]

COL FF won, right?

It did! BAL FF winning tonight would be hugh for our FF enterprise.