Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

7-0 Jays in the 3rd đź‘Ś
 
Matty
Wednesday May 22

FULL GAMES
WSH +110 :redx:
SFG +108
PHI -124
MIL -132
NYY -164
CHC +118

FIRST FIVE
SDP -128 :greencheck:
MIL -124 :redx:
NYY -160 :greencheck:
COL +120
Click to expand...
Bumperballs
 
Last edited:
I'm too late, only COL left to sweat
 
Wednesday May 22

FULL GAMES
WSH +110 :redx:
SFG +108 :greencheck:
PHI -124 :greencheck:
MIL -132 :redx:
NYY -164 :greencheck:
CHC +118 :redx:

FIRST FIVE
SDP -128 :greencheck:
MIL -124 :redx:
NYY -160 :greencheck:
COL +120 :greencheck:
Click to expand...

FULL GAMES
3-3 -0.24u
YTD 161-158 +0.72u

FIRST FIVE
3-1 +1.96u
YTD 65-55-16 -5u
 
is today going to be a rest day? hell no :letsgo:
 
We don't do rest days. :nono: We want to accumulate a significant sample size as fast as possible.
 
FULL GAMES
YTD 161-158 +0.72u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 65-55-16 -5u

Kelly bankroll after day 17 - $153.63
New Kelly bet amount - $4.61

Thursday May 23

FULL GAMES
SFG +150 (fading Paul Skenes :wah:)
PHI -190
SDP -110

FIRST FIVE
NYY -135
COL +105
 
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Matty
(fading Paul Skenes
:wah:
)
Click to expand...
oh fuk :banghead:
 
I've been wondering whether the model would ever spit out a FF play that contradicts the full game play. It almost happened today thanks to Paul Skenes, i.e. Pirates are a borderline FF play.

(If that were to actually happen I would only bet the higher theoretical edge between the two.)
 
You can easily find +160 or better now on SFG. :fok:
 
Matty
You can easily find +160 or better now on SFG. :fok:
Click to expand...
World has to be on Paul Skeet Skeet Skenes so I wouldn't be surprised if it lands on +170
 
Yeah I should've waited. But my model has SFG as a +135 so +150 looked like a big fat juicy line this morning.

I gotta get better at this.
 
I'll jump on 170 later

:fearpanic:
 
SFG play has decent texture so far.
 
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