illmatick
New Member
- Since
- Jan 30, 2010
- Messages
- 1,424
- Score
- 0
- Tokens
- 0
I did a write-up on a championship fight in Germany, fight starts in about 2 hours
Saturday afternoon marks a thrilling title fight deep in the Heart of Germany. Aging star Roman Karmazin gets ready for what could be his last serious run at a title against the tenacious and youthful Sebastian Sylvester. Father time has been generous to Roman but age has slowly begun to become a factor and just maybe his time has passed. This is a classic matchup of youth and grit vs experience and skill
What we have here is the more skilled fighter at plus money, Roman pulled off a thrilling comeback against a highly touted fighter in his last fight, at age 37 time is certainly starting to catch up with him, foot speed and punch resistance are two things that were proven to be faltering at this stage in his career..... in his last fight Roman was rocked several times but did an excellent job of weathering the storm each time. In the 9th round he was seriously hurt and looked to be done for, that's where the heart of a champion kicked in and he defiantly pushed through and survived the round. Round 10 begins and he knows he's probably down on the cards, with about a minute and a half left he lands a thunderous right hand and sends Miranda to the canvas only to finish him off for the knockout 15 seconds later. Roman has always been highly touted but never really lived up to the hype after losing to Spinks, he posses a very crafty left hand, shifts to his right hand very nicely and can be quite deceptive with his hook at times, at 37 he still showed a little bit of that deception and speed against Miranda, being backed by Freddie Roach should be a huge plus going into the fight as well.
Sebastian Sylvester is a good fighter but doesn't really do any one thing great, of course he will have youth and tenacity on his side but I'm not sure that's enough here, he does keep a high solid guard and does a nice job at deflecting punches but against some of the better fighters he's faced he seems to fall in love a little too much with his guard , often times not putting out a significant amount of offense early in the fight, which is something Roman will have to take advantage of early on if he wants any hope of taking a decision. Imo Sebastian's best hope for this fight is a late TKO or another razor close decision similar to the one he received against Lorenzo, Roman should have more than enough tools to out point him for 12 rounds, not to mention he will have a significant height advantage which should allow him to keep Sebastian at the end of his punches, even though Sebastian is a bit short for the division he doesn't really fight all that great on the inside, relies more on timing, patience and well selected punches to break down his larger opponent. Sebastian doesn't really have one punch power but you can't rule out a late knockout with Roma's aging chin, he's more of an accumulative puncher that looks to pour it on late. Both fighters carry their power into the later rounds and will be dangerous until the final bell. The fight will be in front Of Sebastian's fans so we can assume if its a close fight the judges will probably favor him but the good thing is Roman is no stranger to having the deck stacked against him in Germany, he has twice gone in there and won a European championship belt. I get the sense that he's hungrier than ever and will be looking for the early Knockout, even if that isn't attainable I'm confident that his work rate and precision will be enough in the judge's eyes.
The line for this fight was pretty stagnant for awhile but some late night money came in on Sebastian yesterday. He peeked at around -345 but has since dropped a bit. 5 dimes is hovering around -330 at the moment with Bettors from the other side buying back on Roman. I get the sense that the lines makers might just be a little nervous about this one, having a hard time taking a real strong position on this fight. I give around a 60% edge to Sebastian in this fight, primarily due to where the fight is taking place and the disparity in age that certainly favors him, If you can get Roman at +250 or better then you're getting excellent value imo.
My prediction -Roman by tko in the 9th
Saturday afternoon marks a thrilling title fight deep in the Heart of Germany. Aging star Roman Karmazin gets ready for what could be his last serious run at a title against the tenacious and youthful Sebastian Sylvester. Father time has been generous to Roman but age has slowly begun to become a factor and just maybe his time has passed. This is a classic matchup of youth and grit vs experience and skill
What we have here is the more skilled fighter at plus money, Roman pulled off a thrilling comeback against a highly touted fighter in his last fight, at age 37 time is certainly starting to catch up with him, foot speed and punch resistance are two things that were proven to be faltering at this stage in his career..... in his last fight Roman was rocked several times but did an excellent job of weathering the storm each time. In the 9th round he was seriously hurt and looked to be done for, that's where the heart of a champion kicked in and he defiantly pushed through and survived the round. Round 10 begins and he knows he's probably down on the cards, with about a minute and a half left he lands a thunderous right hand and sends Miranda to the canvas only to finish him off for the knockout 15 seconds later. Roman has always been highly touted but never really lived up to the hype after losing to Spinks, he posses a very crafty left hand, shifts to his right hand very nicely and can be quite deceptive with his hook at times, at 37 he still showed a little bit of that deception and speed against Miranda, being backed by Freddie Roach should be a huge plus going into the fight as well.
Sebastian Sylvester is a good fighter but doesn't really do any one thing great, of course he will have youth and tenacity on his side but I'm not sure that's enough here, he does keep a high solid guard and does a nice job at deflecting punches but against some of the better fighters he's faced he seems to fall in love a little too much with his guard , often times not putting out a significant amount of offense early in the fight, which is something Roman will have to take advantage of early on if he wants any hope of taking a decision. Imo Sebastian's best hope for this fight is a late TKO or another razor close decision similar to the one he received against Lorenzo, Roman should have more than enough tools to out point him for 12 rounds, not to mention he will have a significant height advantage which should allow him to keep Sebastian at the end of his punches, even though Sebastian is a bit short for the division he doesn't really fight all that great on the inside, relies more on timing, patience and well selected punches to break down his larger opponent. Sebastian doesn't really have one punch power but you can't rule out a late knockout with Roma's aging chin, he's more of an accumulative puncher that looks to pour it on late. Both fighters carry their power into the later rounds and will be dangerous until the final bell. The fight will be in front Of Sebastian's fans so we can assume if its a close fight the judges will probably favor him but the good thing is Roman is no stranger to having the deck stacked against him in Germany, he has twice gone in there and won a European championship belt. I get the sense that he's hungrier than ever and will be looking for the early Knockout, even if that isn't attainable I'm confident that his work rate and precision will be enough in the judge's eyes.
The line for this fight was pretty stagnant for awhile but some late night money came in on Sebastian yesterday. He peeked at around -345 but has since dropped a bit. 5 dimes is hovering around -330 at the moment with Bettors from the other side buying back on Roman. I get the sense that the lines makers might just be a little nervous about this one, having a hard time taking a real strong position on this fight. I give around a 60% edge to Sebastian in this fight, primarily due to where the fight is taking place and the disparity in age that certainly favors him, If you can get Roman at +250 or better then you're getting excellent value imo.
My prediction -Roman by tko in the 9th
Last edited:
