AFL (Aussie Rules) thread for saturday 4/10/2010. Power vs Lions

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Please enjoy this preview :popcorn:


Both sides remain undefeated going into Saturday's game despite being pushed in the opening two rounds.
The power blew a 40-point lead the last time these two teams met and although they showed mental toughness to come from behind to win against the eagles last week this commentator feels as though the eagles lost the game more than the power had it won. Brisbane (lions) appear more imposing this year, with skipper Jonathan Brown and ex-Carlton spearhead Brendan Fevola combining to form the most potent goalkicking partnership in the competition. Port Adelaide's improved defence has not conceded 100 points in a game this season but Brown and Fevola, who have kicked half the Lions' goals this year, will put that to the test this week.

Freakish utility Jared Brennan (suspended) is a big out for the Lions but a nine-day break between games could give the visitors an edge over the Power, who are coming off the toughest road trip in football, whilst Former Cat Jason Devonport popped up with four last-quarter goals to snatch victory for Port Adelaide last weekend. Davenport was also dangerous, albeit inaccurate, in round one with a return of 1.3 against North Melbourne and is a player who can ignite the Power with his gut running and tackling. Lions skipper Jonathan Brown is in arguably career-best form, having bagged 12 goals in the opening two rounds. The fearless forward has averaged four goals in his last four games against the Power and will prove a tough match-up for either Alipate Carlile or Troy Chaplin.


Can Brendan Fevola continue his good form at AAMI Stadium? The controversial Lions' recruit had 15 scoring shots in two games at the venue last year, including a bag of six goals against the Power in round 20. Also, can Port Adelaide match it with a genuine finals contender? The Power have impressed in the opening two rounds with narrow wins over North Melbourne and West Coast, but will need to take their game to another level to conquer the Lions.

In conclusion Port Adelaide gained enormous self-belief from the win out west and should be bolstered by the return of skilful midfielder Robbie Gray, whilst Brown looms as the Power's biggest threat. If Port can reproduce the defensive pressure generated in their first two games for the entire match then they will be off to their best start since their 2004 premiership season, however this previewer sees the forward pressure from the lions as being too much and its for this reason that im taking the brisbane lions +6.5 (-114) for 1 unit(betfair)

GL guys and remember i only post my strong leans in the hope that we can all benefit from this :yes:
 
game set and match

gj xpy :propeller:

Thanks RJ. Yeah the power is playing like a bunch of high school kids and seem almost disinterested...Expect their coach to rip into them at half time but having to score 8 goals now just to catch up i think this wager is looking good :laugh:
 
you said "here" earlier when referring to the wind, so Adelaide?
 
slow 3rd

come on Lions we don't want to sweat this one
 
Well this game is looking well and truly won. Congrats if u got on it...As i have to attend a wedding now my leans (note, NOT plays) are for the swans to win by 40+ points at the SCG (sydney cricket ground) and carlton blues ML over the essendon bombers....BOL everyone and may all ur wagers be winners :guitar:
 
slow 3rd

come on Lions we don't want to sweat this one

Yeah lions are holding onto and playing possession football as they only have a lead to protect...Gets like this often and in fact became so bad that the afl changed the rules a number of times in order to stop time wasting and speed the game up....
 
Nice call again, xpy.

Live game tomorrow (albeit it starts at 0500).
Bulldogs look like value to me even at -200, am I missing something?
 
Nice call again, xpy.

Live game tomorrow (albeit it starts at 0500).
Bulldogs look like value to me even at -200, am I missing something?

Dunder, although the bulldogs have the advantage of almost 2 days more rest im not touching this game as the hawks are a quality opposition and proved themselves to me last week that they will be a force to be reckoned with in 2010 even though they werent fully match fit...If i had a lean though it would be the hawks +13.5 although wouldnt be surprised if bulldogs run away with this as well....Tough game to call imo...Definitely leaning the geelong cats though, wll sleep on it b4 deciding whether to play them but they are -6.5 atm which i think is almost too good to believe given their dominant record over fremantle.....Will keep you updated later tonight with possible play.....:popcorn: