Matty Rain's NHL Betting Thread

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FYI with full healthy rosters, the model has Boston as a -140 home fave and a +113 road dog. Invert that for Toronto.

The NYI/CAR series has CAR as a -175 home fave and -117 on the road.

:handshake:
 
FYI with full healthy rosters, the model has Boston as a -140 home fave and a +113 road dog. Invert that for Toronto.

The NYI/CAR series has CAR as a -175 home fave and -117 on the road.

:handshake:
As a Bruins fan, no way I’m betting this series. Between the rotating goalies and the dumpster fire playoff “run” of last year, I have little faith in this series.

That said, Toronto will give up plenty of goals and are soft physically.

I’d grab the OVER every game this series.
 
Both Swayman and Ullmark are really solid. Swayman has the edge in GAR (goals avove replacement) but they're both top-tier in the league.

I'm not sure how this Boston roster is able to win so many games. It's basically Pastrnak and a bunch of no-names.

Leafs firepower is deadly but you can't win without a top goalie. They're DOA. I expect to be betting Boston every single game.
 
Both Swayman and Ullmark are really solid. Swayman has the edge in GAR (goals avove replacement) but they're both top-tier in the league.

I'm not sure how this Boston roster is able to win so many games. It's basically Pastrnak and a bunch of no-names.

Leafs firepower is deadly but you can't win without a top goalie. They're DOA. I expect to be betting Boston every single game.
The team is well coached. Last year, people forget the Bruins weren’t supposed to be anymore than a 5 seed playoff team.
 
1-5 -5.3u (-$53.53)

minus another unit ($10.10) for the Red Wings future

1-6 -6.3u (-$63.63)
YTD 13-18 -5.66u $942.73

Saturday April 20

BOS -125
NYI +190

Sunday April 21
WPG -110
VAN -145

Tempted to bet WSH at +200 but hoping to get a slightly better price before pulling the trigger.

GL all #letsdothathockey
Bump
 
Canes take a tight game 1. Isles looked good though, they just gotta keep plugging away. Good stuff.

:pucky:
 
Bruins looked dominating. Toronto did what Toronto does and gave up goals.

Winnipeg is my sleeper team in the playoffs.
 
1-1 +/-0u for Saturday

YTD 14-19 -5.66u $942.73

Excited to see my homie Lafrenière today, he's having a bit of a breakout season. I should buy his rookie card before he explodes in the playoffs.

Lafreniere
 
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YTD 14-19 -5.66u $942.73

Sunday April 21

WPG -110
VAN -145

Monday April 22
DAL -135
BOS -135
NYI +205
 
1-1 +/-0u for Saturday

YTD 14-19 -5.66u $942.73

Excited to see my homie Lafrenière today, he's having a bit of a breakout season. I should buy his rookie card before he explodes in the playoffs.

Lafreniere
As a former hockey card collector, I can tell you that only the cards of mega elite players wind up holding value long term. I had soooo many numbered rookie cards, memorabilia cards, auto cards from the early 2000s that were worth $30-$100 back then that are worth nothing now.

And not just the flash in the pan guys like Jonathan Cheechoo or Jose Theodore. Guys like Peter Forsberg who were top stars then worth nothing now. I dont even think my SPX jersey auto Eric Staal rookie is worth much these days.

Obviously if you are just collecting for fun, collect away! Or to flip while they are still playing (which I wish I did, I could have made thousands on what is now useless cardboard). Investment-wise, better to just go all-in on the McDavids and Matthews of the world.
 
Cards are just for fun. I'm never gonna sell any of them. I'm a bit of a hoarder. Got this beauty last week, it's worth fuck-all but it's cool... cost me $6.50 shipped for a tiny piece of game-used jersey:

carey price authentic fabric


Also been collecting Devon Levi for no reason other than I've seen him destroy in the World Juniors a few years ago then I attended an AHL game where he goalied the Marlies. I have his Young Guns and a few variations of his rookie year cards. Just cause.

devon levi authentic fabric
 
I'm a sucker for those cheap patch cards. This Laffy was like $4 plus $3 shipping.
alexis lafrenier rookie card
 
Fuck, I have to do it now... don't bet this:

Adding

WSH +215
 
Fuck, I missed +225 :facepalm

I ain't adding a unit to this garbage

Go Laffy
Lafreniere
 
This Colorado-Winnipeg series is already a classic. Feels like we're watching a conference final. Crazy stuff. Jets win 7-6 🥳