Hooligans Sportsbook

Under The Blade- The Razor Capping Thread

RAZOR,

SHOULD POTATO SHOW UP TO SOFTBALL TOMORROW MORNING???

IS HE ON THE TEAM?

We are now carrying 14 guys on the team. Casper leaves town in 3 weeks, and then we are starting 2 teams. Let's keep in touch when the 2nd team starts and Casper's spot opens up. It wouldn't be fair for you to come out and not get to play more than 2 innings and hit twice.
 
2011 is not the year of the Durito...

with all his bad luck

I wish he would post his picks like others have been

so I could tail him. he is bound to regress to his mean.

I wouldn't get the numbers he gets, but I still think i'd do okay going forward may to dec 31 of 2011 tailing his picks....

I know there is no way to make that happen in real time though, with the volume of his betting.....

if only there was a tail function at all the books he bet at that I bet at.
 
unreal, Durito's gonna have to pay off Wally and Casper's gonna hit 60% on him. :mad:

Durito runs bad.

I still like Durito's chances here. Here's the breakdown for Razor's chances (long term expectation on the left, first column odds against -105, second against -110):

-105 -110
50% 0.00185717893% 0.00036828720%
51% 0.00845920512% 0.00196860607%
52% 0.03260604990% 0.00890593442%
53% 0.10642782226% 0.03412715627%
54% 0.29425460488% 0.11081533389%
55% 0.68905143536% 0.30491951718%
56% 1.36588356864% 0.71070269362%
57% 2.28983027457% 1.40204441644%
58% 3.24212447519% 2.33817695718%
59% 3.86999567136% 3.29090979091%
60% 3.88564435520% 3.90086538105%