Alright, so waiting for better prices has backfired a bit. We lost the Mets and Brewers. Official plays are:The model likes all of these today:
MIN
TBR
MIL
TOR
NYM
CHW
TEX
In honor of the new emoji I feel like we also need concave head guy or hamster head guy for all the times they lose.Matty Rain: "I've compiled a team of AI bots that meticulously crunches the numbers using advanced algorithms to solve for win probabilities and how those measure up against current betting lines to find positive expected value situations for me to profitably bet on."
The bot team calculating the ChiSox win probabilities every day:
I really wish ChiSox weren't a play, but even after removing their 3 injured batters (who account for over half the team's batting WAR), the model has them as a +145 home dog. I have access to +150 which is a play.
Crochet is the one I’m a little hesitant on fading, but this Reds lineup is also the best he’s faced. I’ve mainly played the team totals vs Chicago since it’s less vig - last night was 4.5-120, won early. I’ve been Dodger TT’s over at 5 or less at home also.Why aren't you all getting rich fading those useless fucks?
4-4 -1.11u (-$11.43)Friday April 13:
MIN +105
TB -110
TOR -235
CHW +150
TEX +114
MIA +165
STL +110
SEA -120
YTD 37-49 -8.77u $908.66
Weird because White Sox are pinging on my radar. Phillies/Pirates Over, too.Oh dear.
After adjusting matchups to reflect injuries/lineups, the model has the Reds as a -143 road fave. Which means fading the White Sox. I'm terrified.
Adding
CIN -130
@Vegas Dave hold me