Liking UConn +4 Tonight! Opinions?

[MrMonkey]

Was looking at UConn-Louisville matchup last night and was thinking Cards -4.5 would get job done at home! Record 14-2 at home and UConn 2-4 on road! More rested team of late and Huskies winning last game easily (No Pope for Seton Hall) might not continue! UConn more talented team but not nearly as reliable or consistent as Louisville!

But looking over today really liking UConn +4! Louisville's big man Gorgui Dieng sprained ankle on Sat and is listed as doubtful! Heard him speak and say he will go but listening to Coach Pitino sounds like if he does he will be not nearly 100%! Dieng represents 10 in both PPG and rebounds! Also accounts for 70% of their blocked shots!

Cards already thin on bench with season being one of losing bench players who contributed valuable minutes! Use 3 guard offense already so only big men to replace Dieng accordingly to Pitino are Swopshire (13 MPG) and some frosh named Price who has played 50 minutes all year!

UConn has lots of frontcourt players which could be difficult for Louisville to handle even with Dieng! Problem for UConn though is too big on defense so they probably will counter with 3 guard starting lineup consisting of Lamb, Napier, and frosh Boatwright! Lamb can be great but so inconsistent this year! Napier only 1-24 in last FGA!

Looks like a good matchup of Cards 4 guards vs Huskies 3! Kuric vs Lamb while C. Smith, R Smith and Silva match up against Napier and Boatwright! Louisville will probably full court press like always so 3 guards should help the Huskies! Against Louisville's halfcourt zone though if UConn isn't making some 3's then that could spell trouble! They should get open looks which have to be knocked down!

So possibly it might come down to whether UConn takes advantage of inside game on offense or Cards shoot well from the outside when the Huskies go big defensively! Like i said was thinking Louisville at home against an up and down team but now seeing good chance UConn will cover if not win outright! IMO if both teams perform well see a slight edge going to the Huskies!

 

[RayRay]

Dieng being game time dec. makes this a no play for me right now...he wasnt active in yesterday practice and unless he shows good signs in early workouts today, its pretty safe to assume he wont be in any condition to play...short minutes and timid play if he even gets on the court...Uconns size is their main strength...cant hobble around against them and make a difference

i dont like uconn on the road either...team has gone straight down the shitter since the break and appear to have 0 confidence on the road...

again, ill wait and see whats up with the big african, but most likely im riding the pine here, mr.monkey

 

[MrMonkey]

My computer died for most of tonight! Just somehow came back to life now! It appears to be a SIGN to stop betting CBB games after tonight's debacle!

 

[RayRay]

split, myself...made another mistake in seeing shit that wasnt there again in another big conf. espn game...didnt really expect mizzu to play dead when getting a lead...horrible effort out of them tonight...as for uconn..shit, they have become a pretty easy road fade now..embarrassing effort: