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FairWarning Cubs home totals

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Enigma
I took over 13 at -105 and -110.

I actually had taken under 13 +110 originally and was able to buy it back and add some.

fair, good site. thanks.

what's WF? wind factor?

also, do they update it, or do they just post it in the morning and leave it.


cubs now up 6-3, as hunter pence loses a fly ball in the sun
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WF is Wrigley Field.

The weather is updated constantly on there. First thing i look for is the KC weather because I can pound that total at 4am. Over hit in that game and its th e3rd inning.
 
Emigma - if you have 5 Dimes, bet the HIGHEST total on Cubs games when the wind is blowing out. I got over 14 +140. Same with KC home games. The wind doesn't work the same in all parks though. Many times in Texas you will see strong winds blowing in from right. The stadium works as a boomerang effect, thus blows out to LF.
 
oh, I didn't check for alternate lines. Good point.

I do have 5D. That's where I placed my baseball bets today. Got the best prices on those totals.

so you're mainly looking at wrigley field and kaufmann? any other stadiums?
 
Enigma
oh, I didn't check for alternate lines. Good point.

I do have 5D. That's where I placed my baseball bets today. Got the best prices on those totals.

so you're mainly looking at wrigley field and kaufmann? any other stadiums?
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i am looking for more, but Kauffmann flies under the radar for sure. West-coast day games i lean to overs first and night games to the under because of the marine layer. I don't have exact numbers on these nor do i use models, just not my thing. I have bet these angles for 20 years though and are pretty consistant. (just pointing it out because i have battled with math guys before who discredit my plays because its not "sharp enough" for them.)
 
Total is 10 -120 at 5D for tonight. Anything over 9 means the wind is blowing out. It is blowing out about 15 mph to center. I played it regular, along with a flyer on both TT over. Night games tend to go over at WF as the ball carries great. Far from a slam-dunk with Zambrano pitching for Chicago, and Houston's best prospect making his first start.
 
***If you feel the need to bet unders on totals over 9.5 at WF, just step away from the keyboard. No value trying to fade conditions that suggest an over. Books don't hang 10+ on the winds blowing in at WF.

You don't have to bet over, just pass all together.
 
Those totals from yesterdays games were comical, and you are right FairWarning about the under at wrigley. I havent even really looked at the pops thread with the ump info but with the wind blowing out , I am taking a shot on this.

Zambrano is posting a 5.63 in his last four starts though he did pitch good against the Mets. Lyles numbers are pretty good in triple A ball, but pitching at wrigley is a tough debut for a young pitcher.

I think the over is worth a punt.

Good luck tonight.
 
gregm
Those totals from yesterdays games were comical, and you are right FairWarning about the under at wrigley. I havent even really looked at the pops thread with the ump info but with the wind blowing out , I am taking a shot on this.

Zambrano is posting a 5.63 in his last four starts though he did pitch good against the Mets. Lyles numbers are pretty good in triple A ball, but pitching at wrigley is a tough debut for a young pitcher.

I think the over is worth a punt.

Good luck tonight.
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I'm probably nuts, but a ump with a wider strike zone with the wind blowing out means the players are swinging from their heels more.
 
FairWarning
Total is 10 -120 at 5D for tonight. Anything over 9 means the wind is blowing out. It is blowing out about 15 mph to center. I played it regular, along with a flyer on both TT over. Night games tend to go over at WF as the ball carries great. Far from a slam-dunk with Zambrano pitching for Chicago, and Houston's best prospect making his first start.
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I am wrestling with this one, will probably just pass because of the fact that Cubs have never seen this kid and he's supposed to be some A1-type talent

I did initially lean over though
 
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