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2012 American League Central Preview: Crouching Tigers, Hidden Sleepers...

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iifold

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Can there be such a thing as "hidden sleepers"?? I don't know, just thought it made sense for the AL Central this year. While everyone seems to believe the Tigers will cruise to another division title, I think there is a chance things might not go exactly as expected... Here are the current odds to win the AL Central at 5dimes.com.

Tigers: -385
Royals: +1000
Indians: +1150
Twins: +1150
White Sox: +1200


Tigers Projected Roster:

Lineup
A.Jackson CF
B.Boesch RF
M.Cabrera 3B
P.Fielder 1B
D.Young LF
A.Avila C
J.Peralta SS
A.Dirks/D.Kelly DH
R.Raburn/Santiago 2B

Rotation
J.Verlander
D.Fister
M.Scherzer
R.Porcello
D.Smyly

Bullpen
J.Valverde (C)
J.Benoit
O.Dotel
P.Coke
D.Schlereth
C.Balester
L.Marte

At first glance, it makes perfect sense for the Tigers to be such huge favorites. After all, they won 95 games last year and added slugging first baseman P.Fielder in the off season, but there are a few things Tiger fans might want to consider before they make their post-season plans.

-Prince Fielder's actual impact wont match the hype: When a fat guy puts on 15 pounds, does anyone really notice? The Tigers lineup was scary last year as it was, there is only so much room for improvement. They're gaining Fielder, but they lose V.Martinez. Now if he went to a team like the A's or Giants, then you could make a case for him making a huge impact.

-Their defense is going to be bad: With P.Fielder, M.Cabrera, and D.Young they basically have three first basemen that will most likely be in the field at the same time a majority of the year. Center fielder A.Jackson is the only regular with plus range.

-Can Verlander and Fister repeat career years?: Porcello and Scherzer have been inconsistent, and who knows what they'll get from the recently named fifth starter D.Smyly... So big years from their top 2 guys in the rotation might be a must.

-And most importantly, it seems like every other team in the division has improved:

Royals: Last year they won 71 games, Vegas has them at around 80 for this year... Their young hitters (Hosmer, Gordon, Moustakas, Cain) are primed to break out; they added J.Sanchez to the rotation and L.Mendoza has emerged in the spring. Losing closer J.Soria to tommy john surgery was a bad break but these guys should be tough all year long.

Whitesox:
I don't know how these guys won 79 games last year with A.Dunn having one of the worst seasons in recent memory right in the middle of the lineup. They have four solid arms in the pen (Thornton, Crain, Ohman, Reed) and the rotation should sneak up on some people this year. Youngster C.Sale will take M.Buerhle's spot to go with Danks, Floyd, and Humber... They do need to groom someone to fill in for J.Peavy who should be hurt by May... I really like this teams chemistry and think they are going to be one of the big surprises of 2012...

Twins: These guys wont win the division but they will surely win more than the 63 they won last year. Morneau and Mauer are healthy and they have put together a rotation that will force teams to put ball in play and beat their strengths... defense and their ballpark.

Indians:
This is the mystery team of the division in my opinion... We dont know which Ubaldo Jimenez were gonna get, they don't even know when the pitcher formerly known as Fausto Carmona is gonna pitch again, and their lineup has some guys that look promising but are yet to be considered proven... They have some talent in the bullpen but are they really worthy of this "mafia" tag?? If they put everything together they could cause the other teams in this division problems.


Now imagine Verlander getting hurt... Then what?? It happens to guys that throw 100 mph all the time...

Still want to give me 4-1 that the Tigers win the Central??
 
problems for tigers:

ground ball pitching and a horrible infield

weak lineup aside from cabrera and fielder

boesch and jackson don't get on base enough and young isn't a dangerous hitter

that lineup should be overhauled radically

royals are the biggest threat. that team is good and should win 80+

twins and white sox likely to be bad
 
I beg to differ on Enigmas assesment of D Young. Detroit should win this by 10 games.

White Sox will improve without the Ozzie sideshow. I did notice the Miami announcers all fawning over the Ozzie Act. We'll check back on that.
 
Young OBP:

2011: .302
career: .321


Young OPS+:

2011: 103
career: 100

so he's league average

what exactly does this guy do that fools people into thinking he can hit? Because he was a great prospect? Because he's related to Dmitri Young? He doesn't have much power, he doesn't get on base, and even if you want to judge by batting average, he's never even hit .300 for a full season.

add his fielding to the equation and I wouldn't want the guy starting on my team, let alone batting 5th
 
I beg to differ on Enigmas assesment of D Young. Detroit should win this by 10 games.

White Sox will improve without the Ozzie sideshow. I did notice the Miami announcers all fawning over the Ozzie Act. We'll check back on that.
Ozzie brings personality to the team. All the talk shows/announcers are excited to have something to talk about that people want to listen to.
Yesterday on Dan Lebatard show he said he was happy to be in Miami because it is easier to find animals to sacrifice for his religion. Can be a little more outlandish in this market. How that translates on the field for the short and long term remains to be seen, but at least he makes things a little more interesting.