NFL playoffs

[Saulty]

Anyhoo, I kinda lean towards Atlanta plus the points. That line feels like an over-reaction to the last thing everyone saw.

Big picture - and given the natural ups and downs - and SF going on the road - I feel like Atlanta at home + 3.5 is a pretty good deal.

Get it now at +4.5. Don't wait until Sunday.

 

[Tron]

Isn't SFO spread getting hammered?

 

[Matty]

I can't believe that this is moving towards SF. +3.5 at home is hugh.

 

[Saulty]

Isn't SFO spread getting hammered?

Yeah 70% of the bets on them. Watching ESPN as they place bets.

 

[FairWarning]

Road favs in league championship games:

2011 GB -3.5 21-14 Chi
2009 Phil -3.0 25-32 Arz
2005 NE -3.0 41-27 Pit
2001 Min -2.5 0-41 NYG
1998 Den -1.5 24-21 Pit
1998 GB -1.5 23-10 SF
1993 Buf -2.5 29-10 Mia
1989 SF -1.0 28-3 Chi

 

[Matty]

Quite the sample.

 

[roguejuror]

School of Wal 2013

 

[mrquincy]

+ 4 ATL;+101 currently on Pinny for SF/ATL

 

[Mudcat]

Did that really happen though? I have this weird memory of a Baltimore receiver sashaying in behind the Broncos secondary with 40 seconds left and Denver up by 7, and he spread out a blanket and had a nice undisturbed picnic lunch back there.

That can't be right, can it?

 

[Matty]

Pretty much bang-on.

 

[Mudcat]

Now some people may have missed the game and not know what I mean by sashay. Here is a representation of what was going on behind the Broncos secondary with 40 seconds left in the game.

 

[mrquincy]

Kinda like this!

 

[Mudcat]

Yeah I dunno. I just might not have any wagers for this weekend's games. A couple leans but that's it.

Atlanta plus the points feels right but that complete lack of a pass rush was really striking. And that San Fran "D" can DO WORK.



Other lean is the UNDER in that game. Probably no wager there though.

 

[reno cool]

they figure nobody can stop the ugly quarterback running?

I'll be the sucker and hammer Atlanta. Just so I can get excited if they hammer him.

 

[Mudcat]

It's the passing that relates more to what I said. Niners have a few weapons and QB has a good arm. But then they're missing Manningham and I'm not sure how effective Moss is any more.

Plus the rookie has his erratic moments with his accuracy.

 

[Saulty]

Yeah I dunno. I just might not have any wagers for this weekend's games. A couple leans but that's it.

Atlanta plus the points feels right but that complete lack of a pass rush was really striking. And that San Fran "D" can DO WORK.



Other lean is the UNDER in that game. Probably no wager there though.

The 49ers D is really good. They gave up 43 to Seattle and 31 to Green Bay.

 

[FairWarning]

It's the passing that relates more to what I said. Niners have a few weapons and QB has a good arm. But then they're missing Manningham and I'm not sure how effective Moss is any more.

Plus the rookie has his erratic moments with his accuracy.

If SF has to rely on Moss to win this, they are in trouble. Crabtree has been going off since the QB switch. Atlanta will find it a little easier (not by much though) to pass on SF. I think Seattle was a better all-around team than SF.

 

[Saulty]

Not sure if any team in the league can stop Falcons from scoring 24-28 points. Last week Seahawks were supposed to be the best rush defense and the best pass defense in the league and Atlanta had no trouble scoring points at will. I can't remember a game were Matt Ryan was sacked a lot. The OL can give him time and make holes for the running game. If Michael Turner and Jaquizz Rodgers average 7 yards per carry like last week 49ers will be in trouble. 49ers offense has improved since they switched QB's but their defense has worsen.