Hooligans Sportsbook

MLB Plays 4/19/11

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MonkeyF0cker

MonkeyF0cker

Mean People Suck
Since
Jan 27, 2010
Messages
11,529
Score
21
Tokens
0
951 Brewers +200
951 MIL/PHI OVR 7.5 +110
953 Diamondbacks +150
953 ARI/CIN OVR 9 -115
956 Marlins -185
956 PIT/FLA UND 7 +100
958 Mets -128
958 HOU/NYM UND 7.5 -105
959 Padres +102
962 Cardinals -140
963 Giants +145
963 SFO/COL OVR 8 -115
965 Braves +108
968 Rays +100
968 CWS/TAM UND 8 -115
969 Twins +105
969 MIN/BAL UND 8.5 -110
971 Yankees -105
971 NYY/TOR UND 9 +100
974 Rangers -180
974 LAA/TEX UND 10 -110
975 Indians +115
975 CLE/KAN UND 9 -115
977 Red Sox +115
977 BOS/OAK UND 7.5 -115
980 DET/SEA UND 7.5 -120
 
I'm on BOS/OAK U7.5 -115 as well. God Bless our play.

I'm on LAA +175 and I see you're on the other side. Could you explain why LAA +175 is -EV based on the market? I'm not at all being confrontational just genuinely curious.
 
Daft
I'm on BOS/OAK U7.5 -115 as well. God Bless our play.

I'm on LAA +175 and I see you're on the other side. Could you explain why LAA +175 is -EV based on the market? I'm not at all being confrontational just genuinely curious.
Click to expand...

Well, if you base it solely on the market, both of our plays are -EV with the Pinny line currently indicating a fair value of -175.89 (-183/+172). My estimated fair value is -184.30 for the Rangers (conversely +184.30 for the Angels). I would assume that it will trend slightly higher by close.
 
W 951 Brewers +200 2.00
W 951 MIL/PHI OVR 7.5 +110 1.10
W 953 Diamondbacks +150 1.50
P 953 ARI/CIN OVR 9 -115 0.00
W 956 Marlins -185 1.00
W 956 PIT/FLA UND 7 +100 1.00
L 958 Mets -128 -1.28
W 958 HOU/NYM UND 7.5 -105 1.00
REF 959 Padres +102 0.00
REF 962 Cardinals -140 0.00
W 963 Giants +145 1.45
W 963 SFO/COL OVR 8 -115 1.00
W 965 Braves +108 1.08
W 968 Rays +100 1.00
W 968 CWS/TAM UND 8 -115 1.00
L 969 Twins +105 -1.00
L 969 MIN/BAL UND 8.5 -110 -1.10
L 971 Yankees -105 -1.05
L 971 NYY/TOR UND 9 +100 -1.00
L 974 Rangers -180 -1.80
L 974 LAA/TEX UND 10 -110 -1.10
L 975 Indians +115 -1.00
P 975 CLE/KAN UND 9 -115 0.00
L 977 Red Sox +115 -1.00
W 977 BOS/OAK UND 7.5 -115 1.00
L 980 DET/SEA UND 7.5 -120 -1.20
Click to expand...

12-10-2 +2.60
 
Very impressed Focker, not that I didn't think you weren't good at what you do but impressed all the same.
I think you are adding to the sporting aspect of GameLive in a large way.
I need to start hammering plays when we both are on them.
 
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