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Would you rather?

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mcbaseball10

mcbaseball10

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If you could have a -110 with your book/bookie would you:

Bet a line that is -150 on pinnacle with a $5,000 max limit or bet a line that is -130 on pinnacle with a $30,000 max limit? The obvious answer to me is that you bet both, but how would you determine the amount of bet for each? Which is better?
 
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Keep getting interrupted over here when I've been trying to add to this..
So in terms of maximizing return, max betting both would be the best option in that scenario because my limits are so low?

Another situation that I'm unsure about:
Last night there was an NBA total at -124 max bet on pinny was $14k
and the Spread line was at -119 max bet on pinny was $40k. Fire at both equally or do you adjust your bet best on the pinny limits?

We have basically set a strategy that on higher max bet lines we are going to tier our bets at -120 ($100), -125 ($150), -130 ($200)
whereas on lower max bet games we will tier the bets at -125 ($100), -130 ($150), -135 or higher ($200).

Is my strategy flawed?
 
I have another bookie that we are dealing with that deals bookmaker lines. He releases his lines typically 30 minutes prior to game time and his limits are $500, so I am trying to fine tune the whole process. Not nearly as many opportunities to fire picks with him as the other guy.
 
Matty
I think you're giving too much weight to Pinny limits. As long as they're high enough, say at least $5k, you can (probably?) be confident that their number is solid. Period.
Click to expand...

That's what I'm trying to determine, how much weight should be given. My limited records indicate the low limit games are not nearly as consistent. However, if there is a huge move on the low limit game should it be considered on par with a mediocre move on a high limit game?
 
I dunno. Some of the ballers on this site might be able to tell you their experience with max-betting the various markets.

I moved a Pinny line once or twice on a Ligue 2 total or something. Shit felt good.
 
Yea I'd ignore the limits on bigger markets.

In an ideal world you bet more on bigger edges. But, again the question comes down to betting the proper amount for the size of your roll. Even if all your plays are +ev if you are overbetting you will eventually go broke.

If your roll is big enough that $200 is fine to bet on small edges by all means fire the max on every play. No need to leave money on the table.
 
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