Tennis futures betting is funny

[Vegas Dave]

Bovada screwed up and currently has the odds to win Wimbledon for David Ferrer and Milos Raonic mixed up with Ferrer at 150/1 and Raonic at 20/1.

Obviously Bovada would cancel your wager if you bet Ferrer on the bum line, but should they even bother? It isn't like Nadal/Djokovic aren't going to fucking win it anyway.

 

[Boner_18]

So you saying you are offering NOT Nadal/Djok for +1000?

 

[Oksana]

regardless Boner, don't take it... no one else is coming in with form

wouldn't take that at +3000 although I'm sure my lover MF could mathematically explain why I should (but I still wouldn't anyway because it's a waste of cash)

 

[Vegas Dave]

Barring injury or shocker, it'll be one of those two. Federer could get there, Murray I suppose with the home crowd behind him...

Again, not saying it's profitable long term to bet massive chalk every step of the way.

But unlike golf where 15 straight majors have been won by different players, tennis's grand slam events have been won by one of three guys 28 of the last 29 tourneys. That's seven years of zero parity,

 

[Boner_18]

It seems that 9/10 would be the proper stat for this situation (as opposed to 28/29). But the point is well taken, zero (little) parity in GS tennis to be sure.

 

[Boner_18]

I'd actually like to see NOT 1-4 wins. Just to see what it would be... Also I think James Blake is making a run...

 

[Saulty]

The Pavy odds of Raonic or Ferrer winning the Wimbledon are 500 to 1. You can book with me Vegas Dave.

 

[choo]

Bovada screwed up and currently has the odds to win Wimbledon for David Ferrer and Milos Raonic mixed up with Ferrer at 150/1 and Raonic at 20/1.

Obviously Bovada would cancel your wager if you bet Ferrer on the bum line, but should they even bother? It isn't like Nadal/Djokovic aren't going to fucking win it anyway.

The Pavy odds of Raonic or Ferrer winning the Wimbledon are 500 to 1.

whats your max?

 

[rito]

I typed up an explanation but i lost my internet connection and i had to go so i wil post it later but the futures market give implied odds on not nad/djo at 37 percenr

 

[mcbaseball10]

I typed up an explanation but i lost my internet connection and i had to go so i wil post it later but the futures market give implied odds on not nad/djo at 37 percenr

Did you type it on here? Autsave content function available to you Rito?

 

[rito]

It is saved on my laptop but i am driving at the moment

 

[Matty]

It is saved on my laptop but i am driving at the moment

weeee

paging daffay

 

[Saulty]

whats your max?

You can wager up to $100 with me. Cash no credit.

 

[choo]

if im posting up $100 how do I know you have a disposable 50k if the impossible happens?

 

[Saulty]

if im posting up $100 how do I know you have a disposable 50k if the impossible happens?

My net worth is 10 times your possible payout.

 

[choo]

I'd actually like to see NOT 1-4 wins. Just to see what it would be... Also I think James Blake is making a run...

NO top 3 wins is ~18-21% at pinny

My net worth is 10 times your possible payout.

alright if im just taking you at your word will you post up 5% of the to win?

 

[Saulty]

NO top 3 wins is ~18-21% at pinny



alright if im just taking you at your word will you post up 5% of the to win?

Are you going to pay the fees for me to post up 5% of the to win? They could be more than $100 you are risking with me to win. I'm not pinny or bookmaker that refund fees so you have to pay for the fees yourself since I'm risking 25 times more cash than you.

 

[choo]

Are you going to pay the fees for me to post up 5% of the to win? They could be more than $100 you are risking with me to win. I'm not pinny or bookmaker that refund fees so you have to pay for the fees yourself since I'm risking 25 times more cash than you.

i was thinking a trusted 3rd party escrow via paypal which lets you send money to friends/family for free