Math Guys

[wal66]

I have been guilty of this in the past myself but don't do it any longer but for reasons not associated with the question I am about to ask.

I used to buy the hook. Once I started projecting lines for games I chose to factor in enough of a standard that only qualified games of a specific margin over the actual lines and I stopped worrying about the hook. Granted there are times when it still comes into play but really rare. If I win or lose it's generally by a fair margin.

My question is, have any of you ever calculated the estimated loss percentage associated with the hook? I would assume that the extra juice you pay even on winners has to be added to the loss value so over a period of time you are hurting your bottom line by purchasing the hook.

I realize most of you have enough options that you can find the line you want without having to by the hook but I am thinking for the limited option guys. I am of the thinking now at least that if the game is close enough to have to concern yourself with the hook it's too close of a game to play in the first place.

 

[MrMonkey]

Wally, questions and more questions! Hmmm! Are you accumulating all this betting info. to write a book later down the road to help fund an early retirement?

Will you use the pen name, Wally7?

 

[wal66]

MrM, I don't have the Durito 500 to occupy enough of my time anymore. While that was going I stressed over grinding it out so much that I didn't really want to talk sports or gambling related theories and what-not. Now I am bored with all the non-sports related material and the mind is hyped. It'll pass eventually.

 

[Matty]

I wonder if someone will ever bother to come up with a half-point calculator.

Wakky jesus fok man.

 

[Archie]

I admire and aplaude wally's inquisitiveness

he often questions, that i've wondered myself.... or he asks ones that i've not thought of or asks ones that i've known the answer to but forgot, but his interest sparks further interest from me...


we need 10 more Wal's at this board

but there is and could only BE.... ONE...

I love you Wallay!!!!

 

[Archie]

I wonder if someone will ever bother to come up with a half-point calculator.

Wakky jesus fok man.

 

[Matty]

BTW you could answer your own question if you only bothered to keep records in a simple Excel spreadsheet. You could then figure out your results if you had to pay x cents more or less than you actually did.

It's not even math, it's basic computer use that's within the reach of dummies.

 

[Archie]

Matty be easy on our Wally

some of us are old fashioned and like our hands held....

why don't you go bash some sluts and touts you psuedo math drug using gf having guy!!!!

 

[Matty]

If I win or lose it's generally by a fair margin.

Jesus fokking Christ do you ever make me wanna ram my head into a solid block of concrete.

Your statement applies to every fucking gambler.

Betting on sports is all about trying not to get caught with a bad number when the game lands close to the line. These 4-5 games out of 100 that land on the closing number mean that, for an identical set of picks, you can have a 49% loser and a 53-54% winner. Same picks - one player has to suck dick to make rent, the other one is blowing it on hookers and snow.

This has been explained to you so many times.

 

[Matty]

Sorry Arch. I'm calm now.

 

[MrMonkey]

Sorry Arch. I'm calm now.

I'm relieved too!

 

[RayRay]

i dont think Durito or MF will ever allow themselves to be beaten by a hook on a key number in football, if thats what you are asking...i know i wont.

 

[wal66]

Matty, I know what a 1/2 point calculator is and where to find one. THAT WASN"T THE QUESTION!

I was asking the guys if they bothered buying the hook or if they either shopped around it or chose games without it. Matty we are talking theory and shit. Are you not getting any this week or are you bored with it already?

 

[Archie]

My question is, have any of you ever calculated the estimated loss percentage associated with the hook? I would assume that the extra juice you pay even on winners has to be added to the loss value so over a period of time you are hurting your bottom line by purchasing the hook.

MATTY, go get some pussy

Wally knows ALL he needs to know about half-point calculators dood

 

[Matty]

Not bored at all and got it late last night. T'was a superior encounter too cause we had been waiting hours for our company to leave. Thanks for asking.

Your questions are so basic for a guy who seems to be betting regularly. If the line is bad, don't bet it. You beat a book, not a sport.*

*Unless you're Tomato and have access to insider info about the NFL draft or some shit.

 

[choo]

all hooks are not created equal.

 

[wal66]

Matty, my questions tend to be basic because I am a simple guy. I like to talk about things but if I get too specific I expose my very real ignorance. I'm generic as a self-defense mechanism.

 

[Matty]

all hooks are not created equal.

Not now choo.