BaseBall Arbing

[FreeFall]

Would anyone arb these out or let them ride?

345.00 / WAS Wins U79.5 -115 / 300.00

currently @ 79 wins with two games to play in FLO. At +143 right now

230.00 / PHI Wins U100.5 -115 / 200.00

currently @ 100 wins with two games to play in ATL. At -105 right now

How do you guys play with these season win totals?

 

[fiveteamer]

I would let it ride.

Gambol.

 

[choo]

that's not how you arb but I'd let them ride unless that's a significant portion of bankroll.

 

[FreeFall]

that's not how you arb but I'd let them ride unless that's a significant portion of bankroll.

Thanks choo for the input. Let's say one or both lose today would it be foolish to bet it Tom if they are huge dogs like +150 or more

 

[choo]

If you are saying fair price is +150 I wouldn't bother playing anything lower than +148 but so much dependent on your BR and the lines you get.

 

[FreeFall]

and the philly bet is a lose.

345.00 / WAS Wins U79.5 -115 / 300.00

Time to wait for the line tom on WAS v FLO

 

[choo]

this is for optimal growth (or optimal taking a small step backwards), can obviously do it however you want:

if your bankroll is 20k assuming a 58% nats win% and you cant get better than the market line (-143 is available at sb) on anything but ML you risk ~$180 on Nats ML. if your bankroll is bigger than 20k your risk on nats should go down potentially to zero. if smaller, risk goes up.

All that being said, if you can find -1.5 +120 which is out there I'd personally play that instead of the ML but I'm more addicted to pain/losing than most.

 

[FreeFall]

Looks like well let this one ride out